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Hello from London,
History doesn’t repeat itself. But could the election, a month from now, be a rerun of 2016? It’s not a mad idea. Donald Trump looks more likely than not to lose the popular vote. Despite that, a viable path exists for him to get enough electoral-college votes. And everyone knows that some crotchety voters, even today, doubt that a woman should be president and commander-in-chief. The election, in some ways, is a battle of the sexes.
Gender plays a role in the election. Kamala Harris is taking care not to talk up the historic nature of electing the first female president. For as many people who are inspired by that, some are put off. On the plus side for Democrats, women tend to vote at a higher rate than men (and are likelier to back their party). That might explain why Mr Trump, in turn, is working to get more men to the polls. Older ones, especially, are more likely to back him. Our article on the ways that gender plays out among the electorate makes for fascinating reading.
Much coverage of politics, inevitably, is on polls and prospects for the candidates. We launch the congressional part of our election-forecast model in the next few days, to go with the existing presidential one. This matters. If one party gets control of the House and the Senate as well as the White House, the next few years will bring more radical change, especially the legislative sort.
But what of policy? Hardly anyone writes in meaningful detail about the different policy positions of the rival candidates. We now aim to put that right. Today we publish the first of our policy briefs, focusing on the differences in the candidates’ stances on trade. Look out all week for the rest of these, running through differences in foreign, economic and other policies.
Let me also recommend our latest “Economist reads” article. This week we serve up a selection of the best books that probe the secrets of the Mossad, Israel’s storied spy agency. I’m passing up the chance, otherwise, to comment today on the ongoing misery in the Middle East. Call me crazy, but I suspect the war will be rolling on next week. Meanwhile read our impressive collection of stories, and the cover leader, on the worsening situation.
Our two games are live: Dateline (for history enthusiasts) and our Pint-sized news quiz.
More than 100,000 people keep up with us via our WhatsApp channel. If you want to be among them, then click this link from your phone to join. We’ll send you our latest stories a couple of times a day as well as the covers of each week’s print edition.
Finally, the caption competition. For this week I’ve chosen an image of Abraham Lincoln that we used for an article reviewing a controversial documentary about the 16th president. I’d like your suggestions for a thought bubble, perhaps imagining what he’d be saying about the state of his country today. Write to me at economisttoday@economist.com.
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